Brusque vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 0
BRU
8%
17%
76%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
FFL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRU
14%
23%
64%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 0
IND
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
JEC
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |