Catarinense 1 Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Brusque vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 2
BRU
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
3 - 1
ECP
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
BRU
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 1
HER
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 2
FFL
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 2
BRU
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
HER
4 - 3
JEC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
BRU
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 2
ATL
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |