Brusque vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
COR
10%
21%
68%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INT
0 - 3
BRU
38%
24%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 2
LIT
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 1
BRU
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
REM
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
INT
4 - 1
JEC
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 0
JEC
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
JEC
13%
23%
64%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |