Brusque vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
INT
3 - 1
BRU
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 3
BRU
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
CAM
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
INT
2 - 2
JEC
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 3
JEC
17%
24%
60%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 2
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
MET
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |