Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-0
Brusque vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
BRU
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 1
BRU
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
BRU
5 - 0
FOZ
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
GAU
0 - 1
BRU
14%
23%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 2
GAU
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
BRU
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 0
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
NOV
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |