Brusque vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
BRU
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
CAC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
BRU
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUA
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |