Brusque vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
CAM
38%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
BRU
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRU
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
CRI
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 0
FFL
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 4
FFL
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 3
JEC
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |