Brusque vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 2
BRU
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRU
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 2
ATL
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
20%
23%
58%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 1
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 1
CRI
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 1
IMB
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |