Brusque vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRU
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRU
2 - 0
BAR
65%
23%
13%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
1 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRU
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
1 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
CRI
1 - 1
SCA
92%
7%
1%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
CRI
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
3 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
1 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FFL
2 - 3
CRI
15%
26%
59%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |