Brusque vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 2
BRU
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRU
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 0
SAO
32%
29%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BRU
4 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 1
AVA
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
CRI
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
VAS
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
CRI
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |