Brusque vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
BRU
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
JEC
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
4 - 0
BRU
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 2
AVA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
CRI
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
JEC
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |