Catarinense 1 Final
Global 0-3
Brusque vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 1
BRU
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
2 - 0
ITU
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
ECS
1 - 0
BRU
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
54%
26%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
JUV
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 1
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUA
62%
24%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |