Brusque vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
67.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
TUB
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 1
BRU
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 2
FFL
10%
18%
73%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ULC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 3
CHA
14%
22%
63%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |