Brusque vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
67.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 3
TUB
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
BRU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 1
FFL
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
BRU
26%
25%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
HER
84%
13%
3%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TUB
0 - 2
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
INT
0 - 0
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |