Brusque vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
BRU
72%
18%
9%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 2
BRU
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
BRU
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRU
2 - 1
FFL
15%
23%
63%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MET
4 - 1
AVA
17%
21%
63%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -2 |