Brunnen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BRU
3 - 1
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 2
ESC
42%
23%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRU
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 3
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HER
6 - 3
BRU
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
HOC
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |