Brunei vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
43.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brunei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
LKA
31%
20%
49%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BRN
3 - 2
VAN
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +5 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BMU
2 - 0
BRN
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BRN
0 - 6
IDN
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
IDN
6 - 0
BRN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
LKA
31%
20%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
0 - 2
LKA
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
PNG
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LKA
1 - 1
YEM
12%
20%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
YEM
3 - 0
LKA
74%
16%
9%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |