Municipal Salamanca vs Real San Joaquín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BDS
0 - 1
QUI
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OVA
4 - 0
BDS
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BDS
7 - 3
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BDS
3 - 5
MEJ
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
QUI
0 - 0
BDS
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
JOA
4 - 1
PRO
55%
21%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
JOA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
JOA
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
JOA
1 - 2
TRA
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
JOA
3 - 0
MSA
45%
25%
29%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |