Bruchsal vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bruchsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
KSC
4 - 0
BRU
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 5
HOL
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAH
4 - 1
BRU
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 0
OBE
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 2
BRU
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 1
SPI
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AST
1 - 0
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
4 - 1
HEI
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 0
KSC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 0
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |