Broxburn Athletic vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
11º
9º
7
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 71 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Broxburn Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STI
2 - 1
BRX
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BRX
2 - 2
BON
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRX
1 - 4
EAS
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
BRX
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BRX
3 - 0
GAL
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CWB
0 - 1
GRE
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
CWB
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 1
CBF
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 1
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 4
EAS
13%
19%
69%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |