Brown Adrogué vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
BRO
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
MOR
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRO
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
BRO
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 0
GBR
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 2
SUA
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
IRV
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
SUA
59%
23%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
INS
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |