Brown Adrogué vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 3
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 1
BRO
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SPB
3 - 0
BRO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 2
CDN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
IND
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 0
IND
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 1
IND
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |