Brown Adrogué vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
BRO
43%
29%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
CAG
55%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
5 - 0
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
RSA
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 3
BRO
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
FER
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
VIL
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
GBR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
CIB
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 2
FER
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |