Brown Adrogué vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
BRO
34%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
GBR
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
BRO
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 0
DEF
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 1
BRO
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEF
21%
30%
49%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 0
RSA
72%
20%
9%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
SUA
33%
29%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 2
RSA
67%
22%
11%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 4
INS
18%
26%
56%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |