Brown Adrogué vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 1
BRO
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
SUA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
BRO
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 1
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
BRO
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
SMA
22%
29%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 2
DEF
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
AGR
26%
30%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAC
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |