Brown Adrogué vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
STM
2 - 1
BRO
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
DAL
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
BRO
59%
24%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 1
ALB
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
GBR
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
GBR
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
IRV
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
DEF
77%
17%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |