Brown Adrogué vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
BRO
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 1
SAR
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
BRO
2 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
BRO
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
SAR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
BHU
1 - 0
RAF
6%
17%
77%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 1
RAF
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
RAF
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 1
MIT
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |