Brown Adrogué vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 0
BRO
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
BRO
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 1
GIM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 3
BRO
28%
30%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 0
CHA
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 0
ALM
33%
29%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 0
SAR
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
DAL
1 - 1
ALM
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 1
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |