Brown Adrogué vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
BRO
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 1
FEN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 0
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 1
BRO
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
COL
44%
29%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 3
ALM
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
ALM
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |