UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-8
Brotnjo Citluk vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brotnjo Citluk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
ZUR
7 - 0
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
SIR
1 - 1
BRO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
BRO
5 - 1
BOS
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
JED
3 - 2
BRO
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
BRO
3 - 0
OSA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
ZUR
7 - 0
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
SER
0 - 1
ZUR
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
ZUR
3 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZUR
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |