Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Brøndby IF vs Torpedo Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
LEV
0 - 0
BIF
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1990 |
BIF
3 - 0
LEV
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
FTC
0 - 1
BIF
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
BIF
3 - 0
FTC
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
EIN
4 - 1
BIF
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
MON
1 - 2
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1990 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
SEV
2 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
TOR
3 - 1
SEV
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
GAI
1 - 1
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |