Brøndby IF vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
4º
18
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 44 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 23 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
84.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 3
WAR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 2
BIF
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 2
BIF
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 1
VEJ
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
BIF
6 - 0
LLA
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 0
SON
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
AGF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |