Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
14º
14º
49
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Broń Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KSL
3 - 3
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 2
USK
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LKS
2 - 1
BRA
57%
20%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
CON
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
BRA
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOK
3 - 2
JAG
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 1
LTM
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
0 - 0
JAG
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
PGM
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |