Brive vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.9%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
0.2%
+1
1.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.1%
0
18.7%
79.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
27.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
30%
0-2
23.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0%
-2
25.4%
0-3
14%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
0.2%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 0
AUX
2%
18%
81%
|
34 | 89 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
3 - 2
ASN
10%
19%
71%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
BRI
1 - 3
GIR
4%
16%
81%
|
32 | 85 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
BRI
2 - 4
MAR
11%
22%
68%
|
32 | 91 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LMU
0 - 1
PSG
23%
29%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 1
SOC
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSG
47%
28%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
PSG
2 - 0
GUI
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
24%
29%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |