Brive vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
78.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
BRI
1 - 3
GIR
4%
16%
81%
|
32 | 85 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
BRI
2 - 4
MAR
11%
22%
68%
|
32 | 91 | 59 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MAS
1 - 0
BRI
34%
24%
41%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
BRI
0 - 2
OLY
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 1
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
TRO
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
STL
2 - 2
LOR
27%
26%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 1
GRE
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |