Briton Ferry vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
12º
9º
32
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
PEN
26%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 3
PEN
26%
22%
52%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WOR
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
SWA
32%
20%
48%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
CAR
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAR
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |