Brito SC vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
9º
22
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 56 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 49 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brito SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OSL
2 - 1
BRI
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
JOA
2 - 2
BRI
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
DUM
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 3
BRI
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
JOA
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VSC
3 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
REB
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 0
VIL
28%
22%
49%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |