Bristol Rovers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
BRO
29%
28%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
WYC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 4
BRO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 3
BRO
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 2
OPA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 0
YEO
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 2
PLY
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
SHE
5 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEY
3 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
DAG
1 - 1
NOT
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |