Bristol Rovers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BOS
2 - 1
BRO
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
STA
1 - 1
BRO
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
STF
0 - 0
BRO
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
BRI
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 0
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
POS
2 - 0
NOT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 2
MKD
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
STF
2 - 0
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 2
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |