Bristol Rovers vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
OPA
3 - 1
BRO
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
BRO
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 1
PLY
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 2
BRO
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRO
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 4
OXF
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
OPA
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |