Bristol Rovers vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRO
2 - 1
BRA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 0
CRA
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
BRO
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 3
ASV
8%
18%
74%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
GUL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
MOR
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |