Bristol Rovers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 1
LUT
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 0
BRO
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
HUR
2 - 1
BRO
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BRO
5 - 1
RUS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
BRO
3 - 3
LEY
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
TRA
2 - 0
CUM
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 0
LEY
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 2
CUM
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
CUM
3 - 0
SWI
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
2 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |