Bristol Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 3
SHE
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
BPO
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
MKD
2 - 0
BRO
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BRO
3 - 0
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
LEY
1 - 2
BRO
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
CRE
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
5 - 2
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |