FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-3
Bristol City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
4 - 1
STE
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 0
WAL
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
ROT
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 2
BRI
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 0
QPR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WAT
4 - 0
MIL
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 1
WAT
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 1
SHW
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEE
3 - 3
WAT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |