EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-3
Bristol City vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
BCF
4 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
BRI
5 - 0
LUT
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BRI
0 - 1
BPO
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
GUL
3 - 3
BRI
33%
28%
38%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
CUM
2 - 1
BRI
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
GUL
2 - 0
EXE
40%
29%
31%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
NOR
1 - 1
GUL
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SCU
1 - 0
GUL
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
GUL
3 - 3
BRI
33%
28%
38%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
LIN
5 - 0
GUL
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |