Bristol City vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 3
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
BRI
24%
22%
53%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
BPO
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 3
ASV
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
STO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 0
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
REA
0 - 3
SWA
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 1
SWA
34%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
SOU
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |