Bristol City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BBU
3 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
COV
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
4 - 3
MIL
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
COV
38%
25%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 0
STO
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
3 - 1
PNE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 0
OXF
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BBU
2 - 1
OXF
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
COV
3 - 2
OXF
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |