Bristol City vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 2
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 4
BRI
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
BRI
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 0
CRE
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
STE
1 - 3
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
BUR
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
WOL
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
OXF
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
STA
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SCU
1 - 0
OXF
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |