Bristol City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 1
BRI
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 1
PNE
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ROT
2 - 1
BRI
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
5 - 0
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
BRI
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
4 - 2
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 1
NOT
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
2 - 0
COL
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 3
NOT
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
4 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |