Bristol City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
PNE
4 - 0
BRI
54%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
BRI
3 - 2
MID
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
TOT
3 - 2
BRI
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
SHW
2 - 1
BRI
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
BRI
1 - 0
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
SHW
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
EVE
5 - 0
NOT
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 2
NOT
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |